Division Seminars & Faculty Short Courses

Spring 2012 Schedule

January 17 - EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic: Super Cycles in Energy Commodity Prices: Application to Crude Oil and Coal
Abstract:   Currently fossil fuels, namely oil, coal and natural gas, represent 80% of the total primary energy supply and that share will remain about the same in 2035, after the estimations of the International Energy Agency and the Energy Information Administration. The objectives of this empirical study are (i) to find if there is evidence of super cycles (SCs) in coal prices, and (ii) to compare the SCs in oil and coal prices. The extraction of the cyclical components of the energy commodity prices is done using the asymmetric Christiano-Fitzgerald band-pass filter. Six different SCs in coal prices are identified. They correspond to the different episodes of industrialization and urbanization through history, and they match the ones in oil prices. These results will be linked to the modeling of super cycles presented in one of our seminars last Fall.
Speaker: Abdel M. Zellou is a PhD candidate in Mineral and Energy Economics at the Colorado School of Mines. His areas of interest include oil and gas, energy economics and commodity price modeling. Abdel has more than 15 year experience in the oil and gas industry on the geoscience side with major and services companies, including Total, Schlumberger and Veritas. He holds a BSc in mechanical engineering from ENSAM, in Paris, a M.Sc. in Petroleum Engineering from New Mexico Tech and a M.Sc. in mineral and energy economics from CSM.

 
January 24 - EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic:    An Integer-Programming-Based Approach to the Close-Enough Traveling Salesman Problem. 
Abstract: This talk discusses a variant of the Traveling Salesman Problem known as the Close-Enough Traveling Salesman Problem (CETSP), where the traveler visits a node if it enters a compact neighborhood set of that node. This problem has roots in monitoring a given set of sites by a vehicle, where a site can be monitored if the vehicle passes within a certain radius of the site. We discuss a mixed-integer programming model based on a discretization scheme for the problem. Our approach first develops valid inequalities that enhance the bound and solvability of this formulation. We then provide two alternative formulations, one which yields an improved lower bound on the optimal CETSP tour length, and one which greatly improves the solvability of the original formulation by recasting it as a two-stage problem amenable to decomposition. Computational results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Speaker: Cole Smith is a Professor of Industrial and Systems Engineering at the University of Florida. His research on integer programming and combinatorial optimization has been recognized with various awards, and his record in undergraduate teaching was recognized by the Institute of Industrial Engineers' Operations Research division. Dr. Smith's research group has been supported by various national agencies, including current support by NSF, AFOSR, and DTRA.
 
January 31 -
EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Speaker: Hidemichi Yonezawa is a PhD Candidate in Mineral and Energy Economics. He received his B.S. in Chemical Engineering from Tohoku University, Japan and his M.S. in Engineering and Technology Management from the Colorado School of Mines. Hidemichi's research is focused on carbon-policy simulations using computable general equilibrium models. He is currently involved in the Alcoa research project. Specifically, Hidemichi is investigating the impact of carbon pricing on aluminum production and recycling. Topic:   The suboptimal nature of applying Pigouvian rates as border adjustments
Abstract: We consider a North-South trade model with cross-border environmental damage where the North imports the relatively dirty good. The North sets domestic production taxes according to each industry’s contribution to environmental degradation (Pigouvian taxes), but this exacerbates cross-border damages. It is well understood that a large economy in this situation can use border taxes to mitigate the damage, but a large economy also has an incentive to use trade policy to extract rents (Markusen, 1975). We formulate a model that neutralizes the rent-seeking incentives, through an endogenous transfer, to focus only on environmental incentives. We find that setting the North’s import tariff at the Pigouvian rate is above the optimal, because it indirectly reduces the North’s exports, favoring consumption of the dirty good in the South. Even in the case of full border tax adjustment, where the import tariff is partially canceled out by an export subsidy set at the Pigouvian rate for the export industry, trade is taxed too much. Considering the inherent general equilibrium nature of trade policy, the North’s optimal border adjustment to mitigate the cross-border damage is a net import tariff set below the Pigouvian rate.


March 27 -EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic: Introduction to Project Finance
Abstract: Project finance is a structured financing of a cash flowing, stand-alone asset that is designed to achieve mutually acceptable allocation of risks and rewards among a diverse group of project stakeholders. Project assets are separated from project sponsors/owners, typically structured as a bankruptcy-remote, special purpose entity.  Projected project cash flows generally have a high degree of certainty, allowing for relatively high amounts of leverage. Projects that are project financed have a finite life and are not designed to be a “going concern”; examples include power plants, mines, toll roads, airports, oil & gas assets.
Speaker:  
Brent Lewis is responsible for energy and infrastructure investment banking at MLV & Co, a full service boutique investment bank. Mr. Lewis has fifteen years of senior-level corporate and project finance experience in utilities, energy and infrastructure, closing on dozens of transactions with an aggregate value in excess of $10 billion. His renewable and traditional energy and power experience includes solar, wind, carbon capture, gas, waste coal and biomass fired power, upstream E & P and ethanol. Mr. Lewis also has extensive experience in infrastructure finance, having advised on and raised capital for several large-scale toll road and airport privatizations domestically and overseas. Mr. Lewis has worked as a senior banker at Marathon Capital, and served as a Managing Director with Cantor Fitzgerald's investment banking group in New York, where he led the firm's global energy and infrastructure investment banking business. Brent received his BA in Economics from the University of Western Ontario and his MBA at the Kellogg Graduate School of Management.


April 10 - EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic: Incorporating greenhouse gas emissions externalities into material-specific recycling rates targets; what products should be recycled?
Abstract: Recycling rates of municipal solid waste have grown substantially in the U.S. over the past 30 years, increasing from less than 10% in 1980 to 34% in 2010. The rise in recycling occurred largely as a result of policies that were adopted to address growing concerns over declining landfill capacity and waste externalities. More recently, however, interest in expanding recycling policies to further increase recycling rates has emerged in response to concerns over greenhouse gas emissions externalities from energy-intensive manufacturing processes. Thus, several key questions emerge: what is the socially optimal recycling rate, how different is this rate from the observed level of recycling, and how does this rate vary among materials? This research examines how the existence of upstream production externalities and downstream disposal externalities will affect the optimal recycling rate of consumer goods. The results provide insights to policymakers determining state and municipal-level recycling rate targets. For materials with low quantities of greenhouse gas emissions from production activity - such as newspapers, paperboard, glass, and plastics - little change to the observed recycling rates is justified. By contrast, significant increases in recycling rates are justified for steel, aluminum and office papers, whose production process requirements are more energy, and thus emissions, intensive. Ultimately, the results indicate that governments should avoid policies that encourage recycling of the aggregate waste stream and instead focus on increasing recycling of target materials.
Speaker: Kaylee Acuff is a PhD candidate in Mineral and Energy Economics at the Colorado School of Mines. She received her B.A. in Environmental Studies specializing in Climate and Energy Policy with minors in Geography and Math from the University of Colorado at Boulder in 2004. In 2009, she received her M.S. in Engineering and Technology Management from the Colorado School of Mines. Her research focuses on the economics of recycling policy and in particular, optimal policy design to account for the greenhouse gas emissions reductions benefits provided by recycling.

April 17 - EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic:   Beyond Austerity: Strategic Opportunities for European Minerals in the Markets and Cities of the Future. 
Speaker: Bob Katsiouleris directs Rio Tinto Minerals’ global commercial organization which encompasses sales, marketing, customer service, research & development, product stewardship and sustainable development experts to serve customers in more than 100 countries.Katsiouleris is accountable for commercial strategy to differentiate RioTinto Minerals in the global borate. He brings 20 years’ experience in industrial minerals sales, marketing, operations, processing, finance and purchasing to this position. Mr. Katsiouleris earned his Bachelors degree in Metallurgical Engineering from McGill University in Quebec, and his Masters of Business Administration from Pepperdine University in California.
Abstract: Presentation will discuss global macro trends and the opportunities created for minerals by the second wave of industrialization associated with new city clusters, and markets of the future. Current challenges including regulation, logistics and trade barriers must be addressed.

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Fall 2011 Schedule 

Sept 13, 2011 - EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic: "Introduction to the Natural Gas Industry"
Speaker: Mr. Krebs has over 25 years experience in the natural gas industry. He has worked in end-user gas sales for the last 11 years. Before that Mr. Krebs worked for an integrated natural gas company in the engineering, regulatory, gas transportation, gas marketing, gas processing and business evaluation areas. Prior to working in natural gas he worked for coal, uranium, and sodium minerals businesses. Mr. Krebs has Professional Engineer and Masters degrees in Metallurgical Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines.


Sep 30. 2011 - EH 211 1:00 - 2:15 p.m.
Topic: Evaluating a Strategic Petroleum Reserve for Thailand: The Tradeoff Between Energy Security and Economic Impacts.
Speaker: Frederick L. Joutz is a professor in the Department of Economics at The George Washington University. He has taught graduate, undergraduate, and MBA level courses in Econometrics, Forecasting, Macroeconomics, Money and Banking, and Energy Economics, during the last twenty years. The primary focus of his research has been in the areas of economic modeling and forecasting.
Abstract: We develop a simple DSGE model to investigate the economic consequences of the SPR for a “small oil-importing economy”.  This economy is subject to the risk of oil shocks. Government policy makers attempt to mitigate the macroeconomic impacts from the shocks by establishing a SPR.  The assigned values of the parameters in the model aim to reflect the basic characteristics of Thai economy.  The simulation results show that the impulse responses of key economic variables for different degrees of oil shocks follow the same pattern.  When the degree of the shock increases, the magnitude of the stock drawdown increases, which helps lower the negative impact on the economic welfare.  We examine the welfare effects from alternative sizes of the SPR and the opportunity cost for the economy because it has to sacrifice more resources to maintain and operate the SPR. This lowers the level of resources available for production and consumption in the long run.  There exists a trade off relationship between the sacrificed welfare in the long run for the less volatile welfare in the short run.
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Oct 4, 2011 - EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic:  Is There Evidence of Super Cycles in Oil Prices?
Speaker: Abdel Zellou is a PhD Candidate in Mineral and Energy Economics Program at the Colorado School of Mines. His areas of interest include oil and gas, energy economics and commodity price modeling. Abdel has more than 15 years experience in the oil and gas industry on the geoscience side with major and services companies, including Total, Schlumberger and Veritas. He holds a BSc in Mechanical Engineering from ENSAM, in Paris, a M.Sc. in Petroleum Engineering from New Mexico Tech and a M.Sc. in Mineral and Energy Economics from CSM.
Abstract: Super cycles are long cycles lasting 20 to 70 years driven by structural changes in the economy on the demand side and supply constraint. Abdel will first discuss the existence of super cycles in oil prices and then present initial results on the modeling of super cycles based on demand and supply, the latter driven by investment. This presentation should be of interest to students and faculty in energy economics and petroleum engineering. CSM will have a special session on energy modeling at the 2011 SPE ATCE in Denver on October 31st. One of the papers presented is on Super Cycles in Oil prices. 

Oct 7, 2011 - EH 211 1:00 - 2:15 p.m.
Topic:  OPEC: Market Failure or Power Failure?
Speaker: Dr. Cairns is a professor in the Department of Economics at McGill University, Montreal, Canada. He has a BSc in mathematics from the University of Toronto and a PhD in economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His research is in natural resource economics and industrial economics.
Abstract: The actions of OPEC and Saudi Arabia are discussed in terms of their objectives and their technical and social constraints. It is concluded that OPEC does not act as a cartel and that Hotelling’s rule is not an important feature of pricing or production. OPEC’s (and more specifically, Saudi Arabia’s) ideal policy is to keep price moderate to try to assure a market for their high reserves over the long run. Such an action would require heavy investments in capacity, including in excess capacity, for times of interruption of supply from other countries as in the 1990s and for times of high demand as in the 2000s. The action may be inconsistent with other objectives and in any case may be too difficult to achieve.

Oct 11, 2011 - EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic: Modeling and Solving Real World Optimization Problems - Are Educational, Scienti c and Industrial Needs Compatible ?
Speaker: Josef Kallrath obtained his PhD in astrophysics from Bonn University (Germany) in 1989, after which he joined BASF’s group Scientific Computing in Ludwigshafen, Germany. He is professor at the University of Florida (Gainesville, FL, www.astro.ufl.edu\~kallrath), and solves real-world problems in industry using a broad spectrum of methods in scientific computing, from modeling physical systems to supporting decisions processes by mathematical optimization. He has written review articles on the subject, about 70 research papers in astronomy and applied mathematics, and several books on mixed integer optimization, as well as one on eclipsing binary stars. Josef Kallrath is an experienced consultant and course-instructor with in-depth knowledge related to modeling and optimization systems. Josef Kallrath has been providing consulting services to a wide range of industries, including energy, metals, paper, process, refineries, and telecommunication. He leads the Real World Optimization Working Group of the German Operations Research Society. His current research interests are polylithic modeling approaches to solve large-scale or difficult optimization problems, for instance, by decomposition techniques such as column generation, or hybrid methods.
Abstract: This lecture will transmit a sense of the requirements to solve real world decision or optimization problems using mathematical optimization methods. Among them are advanced modeling skills, familiarity with algebraic modeling languages and the ability to develop tailor-made methods. Proper organization, planning and design of production, storage locations, transportation and scheduling are vital to retain the competitive edge of companies in the global economy. In supply chain optimization large-scale multi-stage production planning problems with several sites, products and periods can be solved as monolithic mixed integer linear programming problems. Other problems such as process design, process synthesis and multi-component blended-ow problems leading to nonlinear or even mixed integer nonlinear models. Many industrial or societal problems are, however, so complicated that they need tailor-made methods. Therefore, we put a focus on the importance of modeling and the development of tailor-made methods. Based on the Greek term monolithos (stone consisting of one single block) we introduce the term polylithic for modeling and solution approaches in which mixed integer or non-convex nonlinear optimization problems are solved by tailor-made methods involving several models and/or algorithmic components, in which the solution of one model is input to another one. This can be exploited to initialize certain variables, or to provide bounds on them (problem-specific preprocessing). Mathematical examples of polylithic approaches are decomposition techniques, or hybrid methods in which constructive heuristics and local search improvement methods are coupled with exact mixed integer programming algorithms. In this talk we present illustrative examples from the paper and metals industries, an energy portfolio problem with an embedded unit commitment problem, and a scheduling problem in the energy industry and demonstrate that modeling and the development of tailor-made methods require a lot of experience. This experience is difficult to obtain in only a few years students spend at the university. In-dustrial problem owner are usually impatient when it comes to the solution of their problems. Difficult problems need time to be analyzed and solved properly. Thus, modeling and solving real world optimization problems is not only an art regarding the mathematical techniques but also a very challenging mission in the triangle conict of nowadays educational, scientic and industrials constraints and interests. 
 
Oct 25, 2011- EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic: Look before you leap off the natural gas bridge
Speaker:  Pete Morton is the Director of Economic Research at The Wilderness Society (TWS), a non-profit environmental organization with its headquarters in Washington, D.C. Pete is based in Denver and works in the TWS Research Department where he and 15 other Ph.D. scientists conduct applied research and policy analysis focused on stewardship of our federal public land. Dr. Morton earned his Masters in Forestry and a Ph.D. in natural resource economics from Colorado State University.
Abstract: Pete will provide an overview of the last 10 years of energy-related research from scientists and economists at The Wilderness Society with much of the focus on natural gas drilling in the Rockies. Environmental and economic concerns about natural gas will be discussed along with suggested research topics that can help address those concerns. Pete will also reference his experiences participating in the Congressional and public debate on our nation’s energy policies. 
 
Oct 28, 2011- EH 211 1:00 - 2:15 p.m.
Topic: Conflict Analysis in Cumulative Scheduling
Speaker: Jens Schulz is a PhD student in Mathematics at the Technical University in Berlin, Germany
Abstract: A line of research to tackle scheduling problems as they arise in industry (Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling, open-pit mining,etc.) are decomposition approaches. Such approaches use a branch-and-bound scheme and a lot of constraint programming, integer programming and SAT techniques. The decomposed parts capture the logical structure independent of each other, such as precedence and resource constraints. During B&B search a lot of nodes can be pruned because infeasibilities are detected by propagation algorithms or because the dual bound (e.g. from the LP relaxation) is worse than the best known solution. Such situations can be analyzed (called conflict analysis) and no-goods can be learned. We provide experimental evidence that conflict analysis is one of the key ingredients to solve scheduling problems efficiently. This will be demonstrated on standard benchmark instances from PSPLib and RCPSP with discounted cash flows.The computational complexity of explanation algorithms that explain infeasibilities or bound changes of the resource constraints plays an important role. We present complexity results for computing minimum-size explanations for the propagation algorithms time-tabling, edge-finding, and energetic reasoning. We show that it is possible to compute in polynomial time minimum-size explanations for bound changes which result from energetic reasoning and edge-finding. In case of time-tabling, we prove that an important special case is already strongly NP-hard. We evaluate different heuristic approaches and exact approaches to explain bound changes derived by these algorithms.

Nov 8, 2011- EH 211 4:00 - 5:15 p.m.
Topic: Approximate Dynamic programming for Network Revenue Management
Speakers: DaDan Zhang, PhD. Dr. Zhang is an Assistant Professor of Operations Management at Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado at Boulder.
Abstract: Revenue management (RM) entails tactical controls of product availability or pricing in order to maximize seller revenues. A central component of many practical RM systems is the so-called network RM problem, where availabilities of products with different revenue contributions and resource consumption requirements are managed dynamically to maximize expected total revenue from a network of resources. A canonical example lies in the airline industry where products are itineraries on an airline network with different fares, and resources are seats on scheduled flights. The problem has also been applied to many other industries, including hotels, car rentals, manufacturing, retailing, etc. The problem can often be formulated as large-scale stochastic dynamic programs, the solution of which is difficult due to the well-known “curse of dimensionality." This talk describes some recent advances in approximate dynamic programming that deal with the network RM problem.

Nov 18, 2011- EH 211 1:00 - 2:15 p.m.
Topic: Scheduling an open-pit mine for extraction: challenges in the optimization of very large integer programming problems.
Speakers: Daniel Espinoza, Marcos Goycoolea, Eduardo Moreno and Gonzalo Munoz
Abstract: For the purpose of production scheduling, open pit mines are discretized into three-dimensional arrays known as block models. Production scheduling consists in deciding which blocks in the model should be extracted, when they should be extracted and how each extracted block should be processed. Blocks which are on top should be extracted first, and capacity constraints limit the production each time period. Since the 1960s it has been known that this problem can be modeled with integer programming. However, the large size of real instances (3-10 million blocks, 15-100 time periods) has made these models impractical for use in real planning applications, thus leading to the use of numerous heuristic methods.

In this talk I will discuss recent advances in Linear and Integer Programming that could potentially change the way industry schedules their open pit mining operations. Specifically, I will discuss some new linear programming decomposition methods for solving precedence-constrained multiple-knapsack problems, and some simple heuristics for obtaining solutions from these relaxations. Finally, I will show how these techniques apply to solving real planning problems.

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Faculty Short Courses

Below is a list of some of the upcoming short courses offered by the Division of Economics and Business faculty members. We hope you will be able to attend a seminar in the future. Please contact the faculty member directly for more information.

Using Dynamic DCF and Real Options to Value and Manage Mining and Petroleum Projects
Presented by Dr. Graham Davis
http://csmspace.com/events/dynamicdcf/

Economic Evaluation and Investment Decision Methods
Presented by John Stermole and Frank Stermole. 

  • September 27 - October 1, 2010 - Golden 
  • October 25-27, 2010 - Golden (3-day course) 
  • November 15-19, 2010 - Golden
  • March 14-16, 2011 - Golden (3-day course) 
  • May 16-20, 2011 - Golden 
  • July-18-22, 2011 - Golden 
  • September 26-30, 2011 - Golden 
  • October 24-26, 2011 - Golden (3-day course) 
  • November 14-18, 2011 - Golden

    More information on all short courses can be found at: http://www.mines.edu/outreach/cont_ed/

 

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Last Updated: 04/29/2012 22:10:30